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Horizon Europe · European Union

Advancing understanding, modelling and prediction of extreme events in a changing climate

Opens 17 Nov 2026

The EU's Horizon Europe programme expects to make 3 awards of €6 million each, from a total budget of €18 million. Applications close on 4 Mar 2027 (EU calls usually close at 17:00 Brussels time). Organisations in EU member states and Horizon Europe associated countries such as Türkiye can usually take part; the topic conditions control.

Deadline
4 Mar 2027 (in 109 days)
Opens
17 Nov 2026
Grant amount
€6 million per project
Total budget
€18 million
Funding rate
100% of eligible costs Standard rule for this programme; the call can differ.
Total budget
€18 million
Expected awards
3
Type of action
HORIZON Research and Innovation Actions · HORIZON Lump Sum Grant
Likely applicant types
Companies, SMEs / start-ups, Non-profits, Universities & research, Public bodies From source categories or programme rules; the call decides.
Funder
Horizon Europe (HORIZON)
Reference
HORIZON-CL5-2027-01-D1-07
Call
HORIZON-CL5-2027-01
Last checked
14 Nov 2026

Open the official call ↗ Add deadline to calendar

Expected outcome

Project results are expected to contribute to all of the following expected outcomes:

• Improved understanding of past and present extreme events in the context of climate change in Europe and globally, as well as the interaction between different hazards, their cumulative and/or cascading effects.

• Enhanced seamless prediction and projection modelling and attribution capabilities for extreme events and their likelihood to support preparedness, response and resilience to climate change by EU and national and regional actors. The EU Union Preparedness Strategy, the EU Adaptation Strategy and the European Climate Adaptation Plan can act as a guidance in these efforts.

• Up-to-date contributions towards latest climate science, risk assessments, adaptation strategies and policies and improved early warning systems for single and multi-hazard events.

Scope

Climate change is intensifying the frequency and severity of extreme events. Understanding and predicting extreme events and the interaction between different types of hazards is critical for building resilience and safeguarding communities.

Actions are expected to draw upon multiple lines of evidence from a hierarchy of models (including high resolution Earth system models and digital twins) and data of past and recent climate to further our understanding of processes, pre-conditioning and causality driving extreme events under climate change conditions, including anthropogenic factors and internal variability. Other innovative and efficient modelling and analysis methods, including AI-based approaches, to better predict, emulate and reveal climate change related extreme and unprecedented high impact events, and to capture their likelihood are particularly welcome.

Extreme events should be addressed in their broadest sense and types, encompassing isolated, compound or cascading events affecting lives, livelihoods, ecosystems, socio-economic sectors and infrastructures, from large-scale continental to local-scale phenomena.

Read the full text

Actions should encompass quantitative intercomparisons, retrospective analyses, lessons learned and case studies of recent emblematic and diverse extreme events, and demonstrate the corresponding progress offered by the project in terms of improved understanding, comprehensive integration of multiple lines of evidence, and seamless (e.g. from short-term weather to sub-seasonal and multi-decadal scales) prediction and projection capabilities and skills.

The work is expected to support the future European Climate Risk Assessment (EUCRA) [1] , for example through storylines on extremes or other approaches. Project outcomes should demonstrate clear benefits for the prediction and attribution of extreme events and contribute to the activities of the EU Mission on Adaptation to Climate Change.

Cooperation with global, EU, national and regional actors in the field of Disaster Risk Reduction and climate adaptation, including through integration into or interoperability with Copernicus, Destination Earth and other relevant initiatives is encouraged. In addition, international cooperation with low- to middle-income countries automatically eligible for Horizon Europe funding [2] is encouraged in support of climate resilience efforts, especially for capacity building.

Selected proposals may consider the involvement of the European Commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC) whose contribution could consist of scientific advice and technical support in the context of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service and transfer of relevant research outcomes to operations.

This topic is part of a coordination initiative between ESA and the European Commission on Earth System Science (ESSI) under the new Extreme-Events Flagship Cluster. Successful consortia will be asked to coordinate with projects to be selected under ESA's FutureEO programme to…

Who can apply

Consortium of at least 3 independent legal entities from 3 different EU Member States or associated countries, at least one in a Member State (Horizon Europe standard rule).

Applicant categories are a starting point. The official call decides eligibility.

Timing

Single-stage call. Next deadline 2027-03-04. The portal states the exact cut-off time (EU calls usually close at 17:00 Brussels time).

How to apply

  1. Read the full topic on the Funding & Tenders Portal: expected outcome, scope, type of action and the topic conditions, including any country restrictions.
  2. Register each participating organisation in the Funding & Tenders Portal to get a PIC.
  3. Consortium of at least 3 independent legal entities from 3 different EU Member States or associated countries (Horizon Europe standard rule; Türkiye is associated). Confirm in the topic conditions.
  4. Prepare Part A (administrative forms and budget, completed in the portal) and Part B (the technical description on the official template for this type of action).
  5. Submit in the portal before the cut-off time on the deadline day. Late submissions are not accepted.

From the call text

Who can apply
Not stated in the call text we hold — check the official page
Company stage
Not stated in the call text we hold — check the official page
Single applicant or consortium
Read the topic conditions on the EU Funding & Tenders Portal for eligible countries, consortium requirements, budget and the application route.
Where applicants must be based
Read the topic conditions on the EU Funding & Tenders Portal for eligible countries, consortium requirements, budget and the application route.
Where to apply
Read the topic conditions on the EU Funding & Tenders Portal for eligible countries, consortium requirements, budget and the application route.

Read the EU application guide

Where these facts come from

FactValueHow we knowTaken from the source
Deadline4 March 2027
“Single-stage call. Next deadline 2027-03-04. The portal states the exact cut-off time (EU calls usually close at 17:00 Brussels time).”
official data field15 Nov 2026
Amount per applicantUnknown — not stated in the source we holdunknown—
Total budget€18 millionofficial data field15 Nov 2026
Funding rate100% of eligible costsprogramme standard rule15 Nov 2026
Who can applyConsortium of at least 3 independent legal entities from 3 different EU Member States or associated countries, at least one in a Member State (Horizon Europe standard rule).programme standard rule15 Nov 2026
Where to applyRead the topic conditions on the EU Funding & Tenders Portal for eligible countries, consortium requirements, budget and the application route.read from the official text15 Nov 2026

Official sources

Official call page

Facts on this page come from the funder’s official data, taken on 14 Nov 2026. The funder's own documents, including later amendments, always take precedence.

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